UANI Releases New National Poll Showing Overwhelming Voter Opposition To Nuclear Deal

(New York, N.Y.) — A new national survey shows that 60 percent of likely voters oppose the U.S. making any agreement with a nuclear Iran and that a majority of voters, including more than two-thirds of Democrats (67 percent), are more likely to support a candidate for the U.S. Senate that favors a longer and more comprehensive agreement than what is presently under consideration by the Biden administration. 

The survey of 1,000 likely voters was commissioned by United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI), conducted by Moore Information Group and informed by focus groups facilitated by RG Strategies and David Binder Research (DBR). 

“Voters clearly do not support an agreement with a nuclear Iran. And they are looking for political candidates – particularly Democrats – who will push U.S. policy in that direction. All of this should give politicians significant pause about lining up behind a bad deal,” said Erik Iverson, President and Managing Partner of Moore Information Group. 

"In focus groups, Democratic and swing voters indicated that the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) was a starting point for future negotiations and want to secure new conditions on terrorism and human rights in a new agreement. They want a deal, but not another Band-Aid,” said Will Gudelunas of RG Strategies and DBR. “The evidence shows that candidates supporting an agreement in its present configuration will not find support on the campaign trail.”  

Key Findings 

  • Just 11 percent support lifting economic sanctions as part of a deal that temporarily restricts Iran’s nuclear program while 76 percent oppose any agreement with a nuclear Iran.
  • Clear majorities of voters oppose a U.S. agreement with a nuclear Iran including
    • 63 percent of men; 57 percent of women
    • 61 percent of Caucasians; 55 percent of African Americans; 53 percent of Hispanics
    • 79 percent of Republicans; 56 percent of Independents
  • A plurality of liberals (44 percent) and Democrats (43 percent) oppose a U.S. agreement with a nuclear Iran.
  • Iran’s nuclear program and the presence of Iranian operatives on U.S. soil to kidnap and assassinate Americans are the third greatest foreign threat to U.S. national security (18 percent) ahead of terrorism (16 percent) and cyberwarfare (12 percent). Only Russian aggression (20 percent) and the economic rise of China (20 percent) polled more strongly.
  • The possibility that Russia would take possession of critical portions of Iran’s nuclear materials, which was a feature of the JCPOA, drives down support for the Biden administration’s efforts to restore the JCPOA with 63 percent of voters.

The absence of penalties against Iran in the JCPOA for attempting to kill Americans on U.S. soil, including activists and former U.S. government officials, also dampens enthusiasm for President Biden’s efforts. The survey conducted prior to the attempted murder of Salman Rushdie showed more than half of voters, 53 percent, found accusations by the U.S. against Iran to be a compelling reason to abandon support for the 2015 nuclear deal.

UANI CEO Ambassador Mark D. Wallace and UANI Chairman Senator Joseph I. Lieberman reacted to the national survey data with the hopefulness that Congress will recognize that their constituents expect them to take a harder line against a bad deal.

“As voters find out more about what little Iran would have to give up, how much it stands to gain, and where its nuclear materials may be headed, the more they recognize that we are on the precipice of signing a historically bad deal. Americans are keenly aware that Iran is a clear and present danger which cannot be trusted. Voters are resoundingly in opposition to the ongoing negotiations and will not accept any U.S. deal with a nuclear Iran.”

Additional information on the survey methodology and outcomes are available upon request.