Iran on the Brink of a Revolution: Is This the Moment?

A wounded protester in Iran puts it starkly: “I’m not scared. For 47 years, I’ve been dead.” As protests spread across the country and chants turn openly existential, this special episode of Eye for Iran asks the question many are now asking: is Iran approaching a revolution? Is this the moment? Negar Mojtahedi is joined by former UK Security Minister and Member of Parliament (and UANI Senior Advisor) Tom Tugendhat, former senior CIA official (and UANI Senior Advisor) Norman Roule, Jason Brodsky, policy director at United Against Nuclear Iran, and David Patrikarakos, journalist, author and special correspondent for The Daily Mail. Tugendhat argues the Islamic Republic has entered its endgame, warning that Iran’s security forces will be judged by what they do next. Roule explains how Washington is assessing fast-moving unrest and what President Donald Trump’s warnings could mean in practice. Brodsky and Patrikarakos break down why this protest wave feels fundamentally different from 2009 and 2022, what real regime-change momentum looks like, and the decisive question ahead: can street protests translate into a coherent political alternative and meaningful defections inside the system?