Irani faces challenges in modernizing the Artesh fleet, which will require billions of dollars in investment and a willingness of Russia and China to sell their advanced naval systems to Iran.
Dating back to the pre-revolution era, the Artesh Navy’s fleet is constituted primarily by traditional surface ships and submarines. The IRGC Navy, on the other hand, has focused on asymmetric doctrine, fast-attack boats, anti-ship cruise missiles, and mines, as discussed in an in-depth study on the Islamic Republic Navy by the Office of Naval Intelligence. The IRGC Navy is in charge of the Persian Gulf area, while the Artesh Navy oversees the Gulf of Oman. Artesh commanders have signaled their ambition to become a regional power in the Gulf of Oman and the Indian Ocean. To do so, the navy would need to modernize and reconstitute its aging fleet, most of which date back to the 1960s and 1970s. The Artesh Navy has acquired some Russian and Chinese systems and training in the past 20 years and hopes to expand naval ties with those two global powers going forward.
State and state-linked media have framed Irani’s appointment as a sign that the Islamic Republic does not discriminate based on ethnicity or sect. However, as mentioned earlier, top posts, especially in the IRGC, are reserved for Shiite Muslims, who are the majority sect in Iran but 10-15% of Muslims worldwide. The contrast is stark when considering promotions Kurdish Shiites have received compared to Kurdish Sunnis. The IRGC has deployed units from the Kurdish Shiite area to Syria, whereas virtually no known Kurd Sunnis have deployed there. The Kurdish Sunnis who did fight abroad did so alongside Salafi-Jihadist groups like ISIS.
Another noteworthy development is that Irani, unlike his predecessors, did not witness significant combat during the Iran-Iraq War. The generation that forged its career and ties in the war is retiring, and the next generation of officer corps is taking the reins. These commanders are carefully vetted for their loyalties to the Islamic Republic and the Supreme Leader, and Irani is no exception.