The Europeans Shocked at Their Countries’ Response to Iran

Kasra Aarabi, director of Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) research at United Against Nuclear Iran, suggests four possible outcomes to this conflict. First, the regime survives by outlasting the U.S. through a war of attrition; second, it calls a truce and stages superficial reform while the Revolutionary Guard controls things from the shadows; third, the regime is fully toppled. “This would be safest for the West’s longer-term interests,” Aarabi said, “but it would require Western support for a transitional figure and a willingness to put boots on the ground as peacekeepers.” The fourth outcome? Regime collapse, which risks anarchy, armed groups, foreign meddling, and the country “descending into chaos.”