Why a US Strike on Iran Would Not Lead to War

Chicago Council on Global Affairs

UANI Senior Advisor Saeid Golkar writes: A limited, targeted US strike focused on regime security assets would not unify the population behind the government. Instead, it would highlight the regime’s isolation and vulnerability, and signal that mass repression carries tangible international costs. The objective should not be full-scale war, which is unnecessary. A calibrated strike could disrupt key security forces, intensify internal fractures, and generate psychological momentum for change driven by the Iranian people themselves. It would puncture the myth of regime invincibility, reinforce the costs of repression, and remind elites and security personnel that blind loyalty to a collapsing system is increasingly dangerous.